Crypto Analyst Claims Gold is Overvalued Against Bitcoin

Michaël Van De Poppe, a prominent crypto analyst and trader, has made waves in the cryptocurrency community by declaring that gold is currently overvalued in comparison to Bitcoin (BTC), often referred to as digital gold.

Insights on Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Van De Poppe, who boasts over 816,200 followers on X, utilized the Relative Strength Index (RSI)—a key momentum indicator—to support his thesis. The RSI gauges whether an asset is overbought or oversold by measuring the speed and magnitude of recent price changes. According to his analysis, Bitcoin appears to be underappreciated against gold, as the current RSI value is below 30.

“For the fourth time in the history of #Bitcoin, the RSI against Gold is hitting <30. The previous three times this occurred:

  • – Bottom in 2015 bear market.
  • – Bottom in 2018 bear market.
  • – Bottom in 2022 bear market.

It’s not a guarantee, but it can clearly say that one of the two is overvalued compared to the other. In this case, I think Gold is overvalued vs. Bitcoin and that a rotation is on the horizon.”

Historical Analysis and Future Predictions

Van De Poppe further notes a significant gap toward the 20-Week Moving Average (MA), suggesting that historical patterns often show correlation without repeating exactly. He emphasizes the importance of data in making informed predictions about market movements.

Changing Perspectives on Bitcoin’s Market Cycle

This year’s erratic price movements could drastically alter how traders and investors perceive Bitcoin’s market cycles. Van De Poppe argues that reliance on the traditional four-year cycle theory is becoming outdated.

“People should stop saying that this is a 4-year cycle. The year 2025 has entirely erased the theory already.”

Current Bitcoin Price Analysis

As of the time of writing, Bitcoin is priced at $85,583, reflecting a 5.4% decrease over the past week. This downturn adds another layer of complexity to the ongoing discussions surrounding Bitcoin’s market position relative to gold.

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Featured Image: Shutterstock/Marut Laijaroen

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