TRON price forecast: active addresses surge amid a bullish breakout

  • TRON has recorded unprecedented activity in terms of active addresses and transactions.
  • TRX price is on the brink of breaking from a bullish flag pattern, eyeing a target of $0.50.
  • A sustained hold above key support levels suggests a potential breakout above $0.280 is on the horizon.

TRON (TRX) is steadily gaining traction as an increase in on-chain activity coincides with a classic bullish breakout pattern, potentially indicating significant price movement ahead.

Despite fluctuating market conditions, the blockchain has remained above key support thresholds, while technical indicators hint at both risks and opportunities for the upcoming days.

A notable uptick in daily transactions and active addresses has bolstered long-term bullish sentiment, earmarking TRON as poised for substantial progress.

This heightened enthusiasm emerges as TRX trades close to a critical resistance area, engaging the attention of technical traders who are awaiting confirmation of the bullish breakout.

TRX Price Analysis

Currently, TRON’s price sits around $0.279, having experienced a 2% increase in the last 24 hours from a recent downturn of $0.2668, and staying within a week’s range of $0.2639 to $0.2822.

This constrained pricing reflects tentative market sentiment, though the token has branded a 13% gain for the month, indicating a broader upward trajectory gaining momentum.

While TRX attempted a 2.57% intraday surge earlier this week, it failed to maintain that momentum. Nevertheless, a strong rebound off essential support levels keeps bullish traders cautiously hopeful.

Technical indicators on the daily charts highlight a hidden bearish divergence in the Relative Strength Index (RSI). However, the price action appears constructive, especially above the 50-day EMA at $0.2629.

The bullish formation is bolstered by the upward alignment of the 50-, 100-, and 200-day EMAs, providing substantial dynamic support beneath current price levels.

Analyzing the daily chart reveals that TRON is breaking out from a bullish flag pattern—a configuration that usually leads to significant continuation moves in established markets.

TRON price

If the current daily candle closes above this bullish flag, a confirmed breakout could be in play. Nonetheless, market participants will need to observe subsequent price behavior closely.

Resistance has been notably strong around $0.278 and $0.280, and a confirmed breakout above this zone could drive TRX towards $0.30 and potentially higher.

On-chain sentiment appears mixed, with derivatives market data indicating a dip in open interest to $264 million and a negative funding rate of -0.0005%, signalling an uptick in short positions.

However, the long-to-short ratio has dropped to 0.8793, revealing an increasing number of traders anticipating price declines—setting the stage for a possible short squeeze if bullish momentum continues.

TRON Price Forecast

The fundamental outlook for TRON appears increasingly optimistic as the network reaches record levels of active addresses, exceeding 2.4 million—an indicator of increased user engagement.

Recent figures from CryptoQuant show daily transactions on the TRON network surging past 8 million—a 30% increase over the last four months—signaling robust network activity and heightened demand.

Additionally, a significant proportion of transaction volume is occurring outside centralized exchanges, underscoring real-world utilization and genuine growth within TRON’s DeFi and dApp ecosystems.

This trend illustrates a broadening acceptance of TRON’s offerings for peer-to-peer transactions, gaming, and decentralized finance (DeFi)—particularly in emerging markets where cost-effective fees and high throughput present crucial advantages.

USDT transactions dominate activity on the TRON platform, with more than $611 billion in value transferred through its blockchain, solidifying its position as the leading network for stablecoin transactions globally.

As the platform continues to garner attention from both developers and institutions, TRON is poised for sustained capital inflows and ecosystem expansion, potentially propelling upward price trends.

While current prices remain approximately 35% below its all-time high of $0.4313 achieved in December 2024, analysts assert that continued on-chain strength may enable TRX to revisit and possibly surpass this mark in the coming months.

If the bullish flag pattern breakout is confirmed, TRON could aim to breach resistance at $0.2806, with upcoming targets at $0.41, $0.44, and even $0.50 as buying pressure intensifies upon breakout confirmation.

Traders should vigilantly monitor support at $0.264; failing to maintain this level could expose TRX to a drop toward $0.25, nullifying the bullish setup.

However, as institutional interest burgeons and TRON maintains a lead in active usage, the forthcoming weeks may prove pivotal for determining whether TRX can embark on its next significant upward journey.